England Championship Regular Season - 19
Saturday, December 6, 2025 at 7:30 AM
Pride Park Derby
Derby
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Leicester
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Derby vs Leicester Match Preview - Dec 6, 2025

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The battle at Pride Park on December 6, 2025, has all the makings of a championship clash that could define the trajectories of Derby and Leicester. With just two points separating these two teams-Derby sitting at 11th with 26 points while Leicester lingers in 16th with 24-this isn't merely a match; it's a pivotal moment in their seasons. Both squads come into this fixture craving a much-needed win, having had mixed results lately. But who will rise to the occasion when the stakes are this high?

Predicted Lineups

Both managers face crucial tactical decisions. Expect Derby to line up in a familiar 3-5-2 formation with GK: Jacob Widell Zetterström, DEF: Matthew Clarke, Dion Sanderson, Sondre Klingen Langås, MID: Callum Elder, Ebou Adams, Bobby Clark, Joe Ward, and up front FWD: Patrick Agyemang and Lars-Jørgen Salvesen. On the other side, Leicester is likely to employ their trusted 4-2-3-1 setup featuring GK: Asmir Begović, DEF: Luke Thomas, Jannik Vestergaard, Wout Faes, Ricardo Pereira; MID: Harry Winks and Abdul Fatawu; with attacking support from Jordan James and Stephy Mavididi behind lone striker Patson Daka.

The Stakes Are High

In recent weeks, both teams have struggled for consistency but emerged through sporadic moments of brilliance. For Derby, they are battling not just for three points but also for confidence after suffering an unfortunate defeat against Middlesbrough where they were outplayed (74% possession against them). That game highlighted their vulnerability defensively as they conceded two goals from four shots on target. When you're lacking ball control as Derby has been-averaging only about 39% possession over their last five matches-the mental pressure intensifies exponentially.

Leicester's case isn't much better either. While they managed to claim victory over Stoke City last week with a commendable offensive display (two goals scored from six shots), their defensive lapses were evident in their previous games-conceding three times against Sheffield United and Southampton while only managing two goals themselves in that stretch. That's a recipe for disaster against any team with counter-attacking prowess like Derby.

Analyzing Recent Form: A Deeper Dive

As we dissect their recent performances further:

  • Shots on Goal: Derby's meager tally of just seven shots on goal in their loss to Middlesbrough was concerning. They'll need their attackers like Patrick Agyemang-a key figure who netted twice recently-to step up significantly if they're going to find the net more consistently.
  • In contrast, Leicester had numerous opportunities last match but finished weakly despite dominating possession stats (70% possession) against Sheffield United yet still fell short due to defensive fragility.
  • The Expected Goals (xG) metric also offers insight into these teams' striking efficiency-or lack thereof. Derby's xG of 0.92 last match starkly contrasts Leicester's xG numbers showing how they struggle not only to create chances but convert them into goals.

Tactical Battles Ahead

At its core, the match hinges on critical individual battles that could sway momentum toward one side or another. Can Derby's defense cope effectively under pressure? The likes of Dion Sanderson must ensure that players like Patson Daka do not have space to exploit-his speed can cause real issues if unmarked or given time to run onto through balls.

Meanwhile, Leicester must be wary of giving away set-pieces; Derby averages nearly three corners per game and excels at converting these situations into scoring chances via physical presence within the box.

Key Players: Rising Stars

For Derby fans hoping for sparks in attack will keep an eye firmly trained on Patrick Agyemang-his dual threat with speed and aerial ability makes him indispensable on match days like this one where every second matters.

On Leicester's end, look out for young talents like Stephy Mavididi who can turn matches single-handedly when he finds his groove in open play-a reality Derby can't afford to overlook given their recent defensive woes.

Conclusion: A Prediction Crafted by Data & Instincts

So who walks away victorious in what promises to be an explosive encounter? Given current trajectories-and factoring both teams' mental state-it's hard not to lean toward Derby pulling off a crucial win here simply because they hold the home advantage along with key players finding form just when it matters most.

While Leicester has talent coursing through its ranks capable of unleashing surprises at any moment-they seem weighed down by inconsistency both defensively and mentally after several disappointing outings. This kind of pressure often breeds mistakes which could very well be exploited by hungry opponents looking for redemption after past stumbles.

Expect plenty of fireworks at Pride Park-but as things stand now: it's likely we'll see Derby scraping through with a narrow victory; perhaps even a result featuring Agyemang stepping up once again as the standout performer leading his side forward amidst the noise and fervor surrounding this clash!

Originally published on FollowTeams at December 3, 2025 at 5:21 AM UTC

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