Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 10:30 AM
Estadio Sendero Arnedo
Arnedo
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Agoncillo
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Full time
M. Urturi 36'

Arnedo vs Agoncillo Match Recap - Jan 4, 2026

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Arnedo and Agoncillo Share the Spoils in a Hard-Fought Stalemate

Arnedo's inability to convert dominance into victory highlights their ongoing struggle to find the net consistently. Despite sitting in third place with 29 points, their recent form has been marked by a series of draws, including this latest encounter against Agoncillo. The team has now drawn three of their last five matches, a trend that raises questions about their attacking efficiency. Hernandez, who scored early in the match, continues to be a bright spot for Arnedo, but the team must find a way to capitalize on their chances if they hope to maintain their position in the standings.

Agoncillo's performance reflects a team still searching for stability amid fluctuating results. With 22 points and an eighth-place standing, they have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in their recent victories. However, their inconsistency was evident in this match, where they managed to equalize through Urturi but failed to build on that momentum. The team's recent form includes two thrilling wins but also a disheartening loss, showcasing their dual nature as both an attacking threat and a defensive liability.

Arnedo's defensive organization remains commendable, having conceded only two goals in their last three outings prior to this match. Their ability to absorb pressure and maintain composure at the back has been crucial in securing points. Yet, the lack of killer instinct in front of goal is becoming increasingly concerning. The team averaged 1.93 expected goals (xG) per game over their last five matches, indicating they are creating opportunities but failing to convert them into tangible results.

Agoncillo's attacking prowess is underscored by their recent xG of 1.83, which suggests they can create chances but often find themselves under siege defensively. Their average xG against of 2.07 reveals vulnerabilities that teams like Arnedo can exploit. The dual threat posed by players like Rafael Sánchez adds excitement to their attack, yet it also exposes them to counterattacks when possession is lost.

The match showcased contrasting styles: Arnedo's disciplined defense versus Agoncillo's enterprising attack. Both teams had moments where they could have seized control, but neither could find the decisive edge. This stalemate serves as a reminder that while both teams have potential, they must address their shortcomings if they wish to climb the table.

Looking ahead, Arnedo faces Haro Deportivo next, a match that will test their resolve and ability to convert draws into wins. They need to harness the momentum from this match and channel it into a more aggressive approach moving forward. Meanwhile, Agoncillo will host Vianés, where they must find a way to stabilize their form and build on the positives from this draw.

Reflecting on my pre-match prediction, I anticipated Arnedo would secure a decisive victory based on their form and position. Instead, this result underscores the unpredictable nature of football; even teams in strong positions can falter when it matters most. Both sides have much to ponder as they prepare for their upcoming fixtures, with the stakes only getting higher as the season progresses.

This match encapsulates the essence of Tercera División RFEF football: tightly contested battles where every point counts. For Arnedo, the challenge will be to transform potential into performance, while Agoncillo must strive for consistency if they hope to climb back into playoff contention. The narrative continues as both teams navigate the complexities of this competitive league.

Originally published on FollowTeams at January 4, 2026 at 5:46 PM UTC

Match Prediction

Predicted Winner: Arnedo
Double chance : Arnedo or draw
Arnedo
45%
Draw
45%
Agoncillo
10%

Betting Odds

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