A Storm Brewing in Johor: Can Sabah’s Stubbornness Crash the Sultan’s Fortress?

If streaks are made to be broken, then Sabah FA may just relish the role of unlikely party crashers as they march into Sultan Ibrahim Stadium, the undefeated citadel of Johor Darul Ta’zim FC, for Sunday’s Malaysia Super League showdown. While recent history and overwhelming odds skew in favor of the reigning kings from Johor, the script has a whiff of that peculiar Super League volatility that can occasionally turn the form book to tinder.


The Weight of Recent History

The narrative backbone of this fixture is built on dominance—wholly Johorean. In the past 23 outings between these two teams, Johor Darul Ta’zim (JDT) have secured an extraordinary 19 victories, leaving Sabah FA with just 2 wins and 2 draws to show for their efforts. The numbers from recent years are starker: JDT have won their last five consecutive league meetings with Sabah, often by comfortable margins and, notably, have never dropped a point against them at Sultan Ibrahim Larkin Stadium. In these five most recent encounters, JDT have outscored Sabah at a rate of 3.6 goals per match, allowing just 0.6 per outing—a ruthless reminder of the gulf between the sides.

Yet, as every football romantic knows, each match is a fresh roll of the dice.


Last Time Out: Contrasting Moods and Methods

Johor Darul Ta’zim come into this fixture exuding their usual confidence. Their latest league action only reinforced their aura of invincibility, with the Super League leaders dispatching their previous opponent and extending an unbeaten run of five matches, all victories. Amid this procession, their attack has rarely looked blunted, averaging well above two goals per game while consistently keeping opponents away from their net.

For Sabah FA, the mood is more nuanced. Recently situated in 8th place, Sabah’s last outing added merely a point or, in some cases, merely pride—they have not managed victory in their last three matches, instead drawing all three. Clean sheets have been rare, and their goal-scoring average, hovering at just 0.67 per match over this most recent spell, reveals the difficulty they face breaking down teams of JDT’s calibre. Their struggles are compounded by the challenge of travelling to Johor, with the imposing edifice of Sultan Ibrahim Larkin serving as a not-so-gentle reminder of the high bar they must clear.


Stars Under the Spotlight

If JDT’s collective quality is daunting, it is also built on standout individual brilliance. At the sharp end, the club’s regular top scorers have been the envy of the league. While the current season’s detailed stats are best confirmed at kickoff, JDT have historically relied on the likes of Bergson da Silva, whose razor-sharp instincts and clinical finishing made him a Super League top scorer in consecutive seasons. Leandro Velázquez orchestrates from midfield, dictating tempo and supplying ammunition—his passing range and set-piece threat can change a match without warning. In defense, Matt Davies offers not only stability but also verve on the overlap, pushing JDT from a mere defensive wall to a springboard for rapid attacks. Collectively, JDT’s squad often boasts several names in the league’s goals and assists leaderboards.

Sabah FA, faced with the perennial challenge of breaking through JDT’s lines, will look to talismanic figures of their own. In previous campaigns, Park Tae-su has provided defensive resilience and the occasional header from set-pieces, while Amri Yahyah—though a veteran—remains a wildcard presence who can spark moments of unexpected brilliance. Their hopes frequently rest on collective cohesion and tactical discipline, with attacking efforts often shouldered by forward Gabriel Peres, whose goals have been vital whenever Sabah find themselves on the scoresheet. Yet so far, no Sabah player has consistently threatened the Super League’s Golden Boot conversation this season.


Form, Fortresses, and the Stakes

The table doesn’t lie: JDT sit atop the Super League, unbeaten, favorites to secure another title and push on for AFC Champions League qualification. Their fortress at Sultan Ibrahim Stadium remains untouched not just by Sabah, but by nearly every challenger this campaign. That home dominance, combined with an offense averaging more than 2.5 goals and a defense that rarely concedes, makes the task for Sabah monumental.

Sabah, for their part, hover in the league’s middle territory—safe from the drop, but lacking the cutting edge or consistency to push for top honors. Yet, moments of discipline have kept them in games against superior opponents, with a run of recent draws suggesting they know how to frustrate even well-oiled attacks.


Key Battles and Tactical Faultlines

  • Midfield Orchestration: JDT’s ability to control midfield, piggybacking off Velázquez’s creativity, will put Sabah’s workmanlike engine room under siege. Expect Sabah to deploy a compact structure, perhaps banking on counter-attacks and transitions.
  • Wide Play: With Matt Davies and La’Verne on the flanks, JDT love to stretch play. Sabah must be disciplined in their fullback roles, risking little in pursuit of safety.
  • Set Pieces: Sabah’s best hope could be dead-ball situations, where Tae-su’s aerial prowess might offer a rare opportunity. For JDT, that same threat runs both ways, with their arsenal of set-piece routines as reliable as the tides.

The Swerve: Why This Isn’t a Foregone Conclusion

Here’s where the embers of unpredictability glow hot. Johor’s current winning streak is impressive, but even dynasties can grow complacent against scrappy, undervalued opposition. Sabah’s trio of draws, while hardly headline-grabbing, speaks to a dogged stubbornness. They’ve proven they can dig in, and if they manage to frustrate JDT for long spells, the tension in the crowd could become their twelfth man.

History insists JDT will steamroll the fixture. But football, at its core, is not played on spreadsheets. Sabah, with nothing to lose, could play with a freedom JDT haven’t faced in weeks—while the pressure piles on the unbeaten leaders.


What It Means

For Johor Darul Ta’zim, anything less than victory is a crisis—the standard is set so high that even a solitary dropped point at home would spark questions of focus. For Sabah, a draw (let alone a win) would rewrite the script of their season, providing a moment of belief and a reason to dream.

With the clash at Sultan Ibrahim, Sunday will see the Super League’s best tested not by their equals, but by their own expectations. And in football, that’s often the hardest opponent of all.


Prediction may tilt to the titans, but the context whispers: a storm may be coming, and Sabah are ready to dance in the rain.