Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg Match Preview - Jan 11, 2026

Bayern München and VfL Wolfsburg clash in what is shaping up to be a heavyweight encounter at the Allianz Arena, where stakes couldn't be higher. The reigning champions, Bayern, sit atop the Bundesliga with an unblemished record of 13 wins from 15 matches, ready to maintain their momentum and chase yet another title. In stark contrast, Wolfsburg finds themselves mired in a relegation battle, positioned just above the drop zone with only four victories this season. This is a tale of dominance versus desperation.

Predicted Lineups:

  • Bayern München: GK: Manuel Neuer, DEF: Josip Stanišić, Dayot Upamecano, Hiroki Itō, Jonathan Tah; MID: Joshua Kimmich, Leon Goretzka; FOR: Michael Olise, Harry Kane, Luis Díaz.
  • VfL Wolfsburg: GK: Kamil Grabara, DEF: Konstantinos Koulierakis, Aaron Zehnter; MID: Maximilian Arnold, Patrick Wimmer; FOR: Mohamed El Amine Amoura.

Now let's get into the gritty analysis. Bayern enters this matchup after steamrolling through their last five games with a staggering goal tally of 20 scored while conceding just one! Their most recent clash saw them demolish 1. FC Heidenheim 4-0 - a masterclass in attacking football that showcased their high possession style (74% against Heidenheim) coupled with an overwhelming number of shots (23 total). The relentless pursuit of goals is exemplified by the talismanic presence of Harry Kane, who has racked up an astonishing 29 goals across competitions this season and is primed for another scoring spree.

On the other side of the pitch stands Wolfsburg. Their recent form resembles that of a team on shaky ground. Despite managing to score twice against SC Freiburg in a thrilling 3-4 defeat last time out-a match characterized by back-and-forth action-they continue to struggle defensively. With eight losses in their last fifteen league outings and an alarming tendency to allow significant shot counts (an average xG conceded that consistently hovers above 2), they will have their work cut out against Bayern's onslaught.

What's more troubling for Wolfsburg? A remarkable disparity in ball control between the two sides suggests a looming disaster. Bayern boasts a whopping average possession percentage around 71%, while Wolfsburg struggles at roughly 45%. This disparity often translates into tangible results-if you control the ball for three-fourths of the match like Bayern does, it's no surprise when they can outshoot opponents significantly (as evidenced by Heidenheim's shot tally-1 on target compared to Bayern's barrage).

The statistical battles will be riveting here as well-keep your eyes peeled on set-pieces and aerial duels where players like Josip Stanišić and Dayot Upamecano thrive for Bayern. Both have shown exceptional defensive capabilities throughout the season with Stanišić boasting high pass accuracy stats at around 91%. For Wolfsburg's side, they'll need standout performances from midfielders like Maximilian Arnold if they hope to orchestrate any attacking transitions amidst Bayern's pressure.

Given Wolfsburg's struggles with maintaining shape under pressure (they often yield numerous fouls-averaging about 14 per match), we could very well see them unravel should Bayern's attackers find early joy in exploiting gaps behind their defense.

Furthermore-and here's where it gets spicy-the predicted encounter features tactical nuances as both teams employ similar formations (4-2-3-1). However, it's clear how starkly different these systems operate: while Bayern pushes relentlessly forward aiming for penetration through direct attacks led by Kane or explosive wings like Luis Díaz and Michael Olise delivering service from wide areas-Wolfsburg tends to rely more heavily on set-pieces or counter-attacks sparked by Vinicius Souza creating chances from deep.

And what about those individual standout performances? For Bayern: keep your eyes peeled on not just Kane but also young midfielder Lennart Karl-a player who scored crucial goals during their Champions League campaign and looks poised to step up again here given his impressive metrics from previous fixtures alongside sustained appearances leading into this match.

For Wolfsburg? Look no further than Patrick Wimmer-the lively attacker scored once already this season despite his team's tumultuous run-but he'll need an outstanding showing if he hopes to create anything meaningful against such formidable opposition.

So what's my take? It appears quite simple: expect nothing less than domination from Bayern München. They will likely approach this fixture with confidence considering both form and firepower advantages while controlling most aspects of gameplay right from kickoff. As much as football loves its underdog tales-even when looking desperate as Wolksburg does-they seem destined for another painful afternoon at Bavaria's hands.

Ultimately-I foresee Bayern claiming victory here with a projected scoreline possibly hitting double digits worth mentioning come full-time - my bold prediction? A comprehensive win by three or even four goals could be on the horizon if trends persist. Enjoy every electrifying moment folks; this battle promises fireworks!