The stakes are sky-high at Stadio Dino Manuzzi as Cesena battles Empoli in a crucial Serie B clash on January 10, 2026. Sitting sixth with 31 points, Cesena has ambitions of climbing into the playoff spots, but they find themselves in a precarious situation following two lackluster performances-one resulting in a shutout defeat and another a disheartening draw against mid-table rivals. Meanwhile, Empoli sits ninth with just 24 points, striving for consistency after alternating between draws and defeats that leave them struggling to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Predicted Lineups
Expect Cesena to trot out their familiar 3-5-2 formation: GK: Jonathan Klinsmann, DEF: Massimiliano Mangraviti, Giovanni Zaro, Andrea Ciofi, MID: Gianluca Frabotta, Tommaso Berti, Matteo Francesconi, Dimitri Bisoli, Riccardo Ciervo, FWD: Cristian Shpendi and Jalen Blesa. In contrast, Empoli is likely to deploy their dynamic 3-4-2-1 setup featuring: GK: Andrea Fulignati, DEF: Nosa Edward Obaretin, Gabriele Guarino, Lorenzo Tosto; MID: Brando Moruzzi, Andrea Ghion; FWD: Rareș Ilie and Marco Nasti.
Analysis of Recent Form
Cesena's recent form has been decidedly shaky, including an unexpected 0-2 loss to Catanzaro where they managed just one shot on target! With the stats indicating a stark disparity in offensive potency-Cesena's total shots per match have been declining (averaging only about 8 over their last five), they must rediscover their attacking flair against Empoli. Their defensive stability remains relatively intact but will be put to the test given Empoli's forward talent. The centerpiece of this tactical battle lies in how well Cesena can contain Marco Nasti, who was recently on the scoresheet against Frosinone.
On the flip side, Empoli's inconsistency is palpable, demonstrated by a troubling inability to convert chances into goals-a pattern underscored by their possession statistics showing dominance yet lacking real output (averaging around 50% ball possession but failing to translate that into quality shots). They have outshot opponents yet come away with only a handful of results: notably earning just one goal in their last three fixtures. This suggests serious issues converting opportunities while also being vulnerable defensively-they conceded two or more goals in two out of those five matches.
Both teams' recent results reveal critical tactical trends that will influence how this game plays out.
Key Tactical Matchups
Central to any analysis are the pivotal matchups within these formations. For Cesena's back three-led by veteran defender Massimiliano Mangraviti-the task will be daunting as they aim to mark not only Nasti but also manage runs from depth players like Stiven Shpendi who've shown flashes of brilliance recently. Defensively holding shape and communication amongst the trio becomes vital if they hope to stifle Empoli's attacking maneuvers.
Equally important is how Cesena utilizes their wing-backs like Gianluca Frabotta. Expect them to push high up the pitch looking for overlapping runs which may exploit any defensive lapses from Empoli's flanks led by Gabriele Guarino and Matteo Lovato. A lack of width could provide opportunities for breaking through as Cristian Shpendi tries to find space between the lines.
For Empoli's midfield duo of Moruzzi and Ghion-who've generally been strong at recycling possession-their pressing mechanics need sharpening. If they can effectively disrupt Cesena's build-up play and force turnovers near midfield locations such as close proximity zones right outside the opponent's box-it may create golden opportunities for fast-break situations heading toward Klinsmann.
Statistical Insights
Digging deeper into player performances reveals some striking truths. Both sides struggle with discipline-a notable concern for Cesena was displayed in recent matches yielding an uptick in yellow cards (totaling nine across five games). This indicates potential vulnerability if frustration sets in under pressure from aggressive counter-attacking play.
While both teams exhibit decent passing accuracy hovering above 80%, efficiency should take precedence for success here-with sharpness from key figures being paramount during transitional moments-where precision defines outcomes. Watch for how Dimitri Bisoli orchestrates transitions via vertical passing sequences that can open up gaps behind Empoli's rearguard where creativity meets cutting-edge execution could lead directly towards breaking through.
As far as standout players go-Nasti stands tall with his ability not just in terms of goals but presence-he carries an imposing figure that defenders fear-and as mentioned earlier he netted once already last time out. Conversely, expect fireworks from Cristian Shpendi whose efforts were essential to achieve all-important goals amidst rising expectations needing more from him given Cesena's offense should be optimized against defenses like those exhibited by Empoli.
Conclusion & Prediction
In sum, this match serves as a crossroads moment for both clubs: Can Cesena reclaim confidence at home? Or will Empoli find momentum on the road? Statistically speaking-from expected goals (xG) insights highlighting a clear drop-off for each team (Cesena boasts lower overall efficiency combined alongside suspect finishing traits)- it heavily weighs toward either team snatching all three points late; however...with solid composure returning gradually -it is crucial that Cesar plays takes advantage quickly right off kick-off!
Given current dynamics along with absence risks growing untenable towards making predictions; my gut says if Csena attacks early aided by home support it can overpower an uncertain defense leaving Empoli frustrated yet still dangerous via quick transitions leading them forward... I foresee a tightly contested affair resulting potentially ultimately into "Cesena edges it" final score-line landing 2-1 reflecting shifting tides upon Saturday action fueled desires toward victory pushing forward aspirations anew within Serie B.