In a critical clash for supremacy in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9, Marbelli hosts Alhaurino at Estadio Municipal on January 18, 2026. With only three points separating these teams in the standings-Marbelli sitting at seventh with 26 points and Alhaurino trailing in ninth with 23-this encounter is not just about pride; it's a fight for crucial points that could catapult either team into playoff contention or send them spiraling down the table. Both sides have been fluctuating between promise and peril, making this matchup the perfect storm of high stakes and gripping tension.
Marbelli arrives in fine form, having bounced back from a recent dip to secure a convincing 3-0 win over Ciudad de Torredonjimeno. This result signals an impressive turnaround after struggling against Huétor Tájar, where they fell to a narrow defeat. Their attacking prowess has been on full display with seven goals across their last five matches, but defensive inconsistencies persist as they also conceded two goals against Granada II. If Marbelli wants to build momentum and ensure home advantage, they must tighten their defense while continuing to unleash their offensive talent.
On the flip side, Alhaurino has been riding an emotional rollercoaster. After their exhilarating 4-2 victory at Mancha Real, which saw them exploit defensive gaps mercilessly, they couldn't follow it up with similar success, settling for frustrating goalless draws against Arenas Armilla and Churriana Vega. While they've shown flair in attack, especially in tight matchups like their thrilling 4-3 victory over Atlético Porcuna, their inability to find the net consistently poses serious questions heading into this critical battle.
Statistically speaking, Marbelli's recent surge translates into an average of nearly two goals per game over the last five matches-a statistic that bolsters their claim as formidable contenders. The tactical pattern emerges: they're adept at maintaining possession and delivering high-quality shots that yield significant expected goals (xG). However, one glaring weakness lies in their defensive lapses during critical moments; they cannot afford another slip-up when faced with Alhaurino's counter-attacking capabilities.
Alhaurino has been prolific but erratic. Their ability to score four goals shows potent attacking depth but raising doubts about their defensive solidity-evident from the three goals conceded against Atlético Porcuna and two allowed against Mancha Real. They need to establish a more balanced approach: assertive defending combined with explosive attacks if they hope to seize vital points away from home.
Key players will be pivotal in determining the outcome of this showdown. For Marbelli, keep your eyes peeled on their forward line featuring players who have consistently found the back of the net recently; scoring firepower from someone like Sergio León, who lit up defenses with his incisive runs and clever finishing techniques could be decisive. On Alhaurino's side, all eyes should focus on David Ruiz, whose knack for being in the right place at the right time could exploit any gaps left by Marbelli's occasionally shaky backline.
As we delve deeper into tactics ahead of this showdown, expect both coaches to adopt a proactive stance: Marbelli will look to control possession and draw out Alhaurino's defense while utilizing rapid transitions for clinical finishes. Conversely, Alhaurino will aim to sit deep initially but unleash quick counter-attacks through flanks when opportunities arise.
So here's what it boils down to: Marbelli possesses momentum fueled by recent victories; meanwhile, Alhaurino showcases flair amid inconsistency-but when pitted against each other? History favors Marbelli; remember that first match of this season where they edged out Alhaurino 2-1? Psychological edges matter!
Looking ahead to January 18th: I'm calling it now! With momentum swinging firmly toward Marbelli following that dominant display last weekend and coupled with home-field advantage-a determined squad will prevail! I predict a nail-biting affair ending in a 3-1 victory for Marbelli as they capitalize on early pressure and stifle Alhaurino's chances of creating havoc on counterattacks. Buckle up! This showdown promises fireworks!